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GIBBONS ET AL., MANAGEMENT OF PATIENTS WITH CHRONIC STABLE ANGINA UPDATE
http://www.acc.org/clinical/guidelines/stable/update_index.htm

ACC/AHA 2002 Guideline Update for the Management of Patients With Chronic Stable Angina

A Report of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Task Force on Practice Guidelines (Committee to Update the 1999 Guidelines for the Management of Patients With Chronic Stable Angina)

This is a Guideline Update of the 1999 Chronic Stable Angina Guidelines. To highlight the changes, deleted text is indicated by strikeout, and revised text is presented in brown. A clean version of the document, with changes fully incorporated, is available for download and print.

III. Risk Stratification

A. Clinical Assessment

1. Prognosis of CAD for Death or Nonfatal MI: General Considerations
Coronary artery disease is a chronic disorder with a natural history that spans multiple decades. In each affected person, the disease typically cycles in and out of clinically defined phases: asymptomatic, stable angina, progressive angina, and unstable angina or acute MI. Although the specific approach to risk stratification of the coronary disease patient can vary according to the phase of the disease in which the patient presents, some general concepts apply across the spectrum of disease.

The patient’s risk is usually a function of four types of patient characteristics. The strongest predictor of long-term survival with CAD is the functioning of the LV. Ejection fraction is the most commonly used measure of the extent of LV dysfunction. A second patient characteristic is the anatomic extent and severity of atherosclerotic involvement of the coronary tree. The number of diseased vessels is the most common measure of this characteristic. A third characteristic provides evidence of a recent coronary plaque rupture, which indicates a substantially increased short-term risk for cardiac death or nonfatal MI. Worsening clinical symptoms with unstable features is the major clinical marker of a plaque event. The fourth patient characteristic is general health and noncoronary comorbidity.

The probability that a given patient will progress to a higher-or lower-risk disease state depends primarily on factors related to the aggressiveness of the underlying atherosclerotic process. Patients with major cardiac risk factors, including smoking, hypercholesterolemia, diabetes mellitus, and hypertension, are most likely to have progressive atheroscle rosis with repeated coronary plaque events. Patients presenting at a younger age also may have more aggressive disease.

A growing body of pathologic, angiographic, angioscopic, and intravascular ultrasonographic data support a pathophysiologic model in which most major cardiac events are initiated by microscopic ulcerations of vulnerable atherosclerotic plaques. Several lines of evidence have shown that the majority of vulnerable plaques appear “angiographically insignificant” before their rupture (less than 75% diameter stenosis). In contrast, most of the “significant” plaques (greater than 75% stenosis) visualized at angiography are at low risk for plaque rupture. Thus, the ability of stress testing of any type to detect vulnerable atherosclerotic lesions may be limited by the smaller size and lesser effect on coronary blood flow of these plaques, which may explain the occasional acute coronary event that occurs shortly after a negative treadmill test result.

2. Risk Stratification With Clinical Parameters
Rigorous evidence for predictors of severe CAD (three-vessel and left main disease) derived solely from the history and physical examination in patients with chest pain is surprisingly limited. Presumably, this is because physicians routinely incorporate additional information (e.g., an ECG) into risk stratification.

Nevertheless, very useful information relevant to prognosis can be obtained from the history. This includes demographics such as age and gender, as well as a medical history focusing on hypertension, diabetes, hypercholesterolemia, smoking, peripheral vascular or arterial disease, and previous MI. As previously discussed, the description of the patient’s chest discomfort can usually be easily assigned to one of three categories: typical angina, atypical angina, and nonanginal chest pain (38).

The physical examination may also aid in risk stratification by determining the presence or absence of signs and symptoms that might alter the probability of severe CAD. Useful findings include those that suggest vascular disease (abnormal fundi, decreased peripheral pulses, bruits), long-standing hypertension (blood pressure, abnormal fundi), aortic valve stenosis or idiopathic hypertrophic subaortic stenosis (systolic murmur, abnormal carotid pulse, abnormal apical pulse), left-heart failure (third heart sound, displaced apical impulse, bibasilar rales), and right-heart failure (jugular venous distension, hepatomegaly, ascites, pedal edema).

Several studies have examined the value of clinical parameters for identifying the presence of severe (three-vessel or left main) CAD. Pryor et al. (134) identified 11 clinical characteristics that are important in estimating the likelihood of severe CAD: typical angina, previous MI, age, gender, duration of chest pain symptoms, risk factors (hypertension, diabetes, hyperlipidemia, smoking), carotid bruit, and chest pain frequency. In a subsequent study, Pryor et al. (41) provided detailed equations for the prediction of both severe CAD and survival based on clinical parameters.

Hubbard et al. (351) identified five clinical parameters that were independently predictive of severe (three-vessel or left main) CAD: age, typical angina, diabetes, gender, and prior MI (history or ECG). Hubbard then developed a five-point cardiac risk score. A composite graph (Fig. 7) estimates the probability of severe CAD. Each curve shows the probability of severe CAD as a function of age for a given cardiac risk score. As shown on this graph, some patients have a high likelihood (greater than 1 chance in 2) of severe disease on the basis of clinical parameters alone. Such patients should be considered for direct referral to angiography, because noninvasive testing is highly unlikely to be normal and, if it is, may conceivably be false-negative. An example would be a 50-year-old male patient with diabetes, taking insulin, with typical angina and history and ECG evidence of previous MI. His estimated likelihood of severe disease is 60%; such a patient should be considered for angiography without further testing.

Descriptive information about the chest pain is very important in assessment of patient prognosis and risk of severe CAD. However, because the extent and location of angiographically demonstrated occlusion, together with the degree of LV dysfunction, appear to have substantially greater prognostic power than symptom severity (96,352), many clinicians have come to rely almost exclusively on these “objective” measurements of disease and very little on the patient’s history in choosing among the alternative management strategies for their patients. However, clinical parameters should not be ignored for risk stratification (41,353,354). Califf et al. (95) have provided evidence that the aggregation of certain historical and ECG variables in an “angina score” offers prognostic information that is independent of and incremental to that detected by catheterization. The angina score was composed of three differentially weighted variables: the “anginal course,” anginal frequency, and rest ECG ST-T-wave abnormalities. Two features of the prognostic power of the angina score seem intuitively correct: 1) it had a greater impact on short-term prognosis than long-term prognosis, presumably reflecting the importance of a plaque rupture; and 2) it had greater prognostic value when the LV was normal than when it was abnormal, presumably because so much of the overall prognosis was determined by LV function when it was abnormal.

Peripheral vascular disease is another clinical parameter that is useful in stratifying risk. The presence of a carotid bruit, like male gender and previous MI, nearly doubles the risk for severe CAD (134). In addition to peripheral vascular disease, signs and symptoms related to CHF, which reflect LV function, convey an adverse prognosis.

All the studies evaluating clinical characteristics as predictors of severe CAD used only patients referred for further evaluation of chest pain and cardiac catheterization. Although it does not undercut internal validity, this bias in the assembly of a cohort severely limits the generalizability (external validity) of study findings to all patients with CAD. However, it is likely that the overall “risk” of an unselected population is lower, so that patients described as “low risk” by these findings are still likely to be low risk.

Risk stratification of patients with stable angina using clinical parameters may facilitate the development of clearer indications of referral for exercise testing and cardiac catheterization. Long-term follow-up data from the CASS registry (352) showed that 72% of the deaths occurred in the 38% of the population that had either LV dysfunction or severe coronary disease. The prognosis of patients with a normal ECG (which implies normal LV function at rest) and a low clinical risk for severe CAD is therefore excellent. Pryor et al. (41) showed that 37% of outpatients referred for noninvasive testing met the criteria for low risk. Fewer than 1% of these patients had left main artery disease or died within 3 years. The value of additional testing for risk stratification in such patients is modest. Lower-cost options such as treadmill testing should therefore be used whenever possible, and only the most abnormal results (described in Section III.2) should be referred to angiography.

B. Electrocardiogram/Chest X-Ray

Patients with chronic stable angina who have rest ECG abnormalities are at greater risk than those with normal ECGs (355). Evidence of at least 1 prior MI on ECG indicates an increased risk for cardiac events. In fact, the presence of Q waves in multiple ECG leads, often accompanied by an R wave in lead V1 (posterior infarction), is frequently associated with a markedly reduced LV ejection fraction, an important determinant of the natural history of patients with suspected atherosclerotic CHD (356). A “QRS score” has been used to indicate the extent of old or new MI (357), with the higher scores being associated with lower LV ejection fractions and a poorer long-term prognosis. The presence of persistent ST-T-wave inversions, particularly in leads V1 to V3 of the rest ECG, is associated with an increased likelihood of future acute coronary events and a poor prognosis (358-361). A decreased prognosis for patients with angina pectoris is also likely when the ECG shows left bundle-branch block, bifascicular block (often left anterior fascicular block plus right bundle-branch block), second- or third-degree AV block, atrial fibrillation, or ventricular tachyarrhythmias (362). The presence of LVH by ECG criteria in a patient with angina pectoris is also associated with increased morbidity and mortality (361,363).

On the chest roentgenogram, the presence of cardiomegaly, an LV aneurysm, or pulmonary venous congestion is associated with a poorer long-term prognosis than that which occurs in patients with a normal chest X-ray result. The presence of left atrial enlargement, which indicates a higher likelihood of pulmonary venous congestion or mitral regurgitation, is also a negative prognostic factor.

As indicated previously, the presence of calcium in the coronary arteries on chest X-ray or fluoroscopy in patients with symptomatic CAD suggests an increased risk of cardiac events (364). The presence and amount of coronary artery calcification by EBCT also correlates to some extent with the severity of CAD, but there is considerable patient variation.

C. Noninvasive Testing

1. Resting LV Function (Echocardiographic/Radionuclide Imaging)

Recommendations for Measurement of Rest LV Function by Echocardiography or Radionuclide Angiography in Patients With Chronic Stable Angina

Class I

1. Echocardiography or RNA in patients with a history of prior MI, pathologic Q waves, or symptoms or signs suggestive of heart failure to assess LV function. (Level of Evidence: B)

2. Echocardiography in patients with a systolic murmur that suggests mitral regurgitation to assess its severity and etiology. (Level of Evidence: C)

3. Echocardiography or RNA in patients with complex ventricular arrhythmias to assess LV function. (Level of Evidence: B)

Class III

1. Routine periodic reassessment of stable patients for whom no new change in therapy is contemplated. (Level of Evidence: C)

2. Patients with a normal ECG, no history of MI, and no symptoms or signs suggestive of CHF. (Level of Evidence: B)

Importance of Assessing LV Function

Most patients undergoing a diagnostic evaluation for angina do not need an echocardiogram. However, in the chronic stable angina patient who has a history of documented MI or Q waves on ECG, measurement of global LV systolic function (e.g., ejection fraction) may be important in choosing appropriate medical or surgical therapy and making recommendations about activity level, rehabilitation, and work status (13,365). Similarly, cardiac imaging may be helpful in establishing pathophysiologic mechanisms and guiding therapy in patients who have clinical signs or symptoms of heart failure in addition to chronic stable angina. For example, a patient with heart failure might have predominantly systolic LV dys-function, predominantly diastolic dysfunction, mitral or aortic valve disease, some combination of these abnormalities, or a noncardiac cause for symptoms. The best treatment of the patient can be planned more rationally if the status of LV systolic and diastolic function (by echocardiography or radionuclide imaging), valvular function, and pulmonary artery pressure (by echocardiographic transthoracic echo-Doppler techniques) is known.

Assessment of Global LV Function

Left ventricular global systolic function and volumes have been well documented to be important predictors of prognosis in patients with cardiac disease. In patients with chronic ischemic heart disease, LV ejection fraction measured at rest by either echocardiography (352) or RNA (96,352,365) is predictive of long-term prognosis; as LV ejection fraction declines, mortality increases (352). A rest ejection fraction of less than 35% is associated with an annual mortality rate greater than 3% per year.

Current echocardiographic techniques permit a comprehensive assessment of LV size and function (366,377). Two dimensional echocardiographic LV ejection fraction may be measured quantitatively or reported qualitatively (by visual estimation) as increased; normal; or mildly, moderately, or severely reduced. When performed by skilled observers, visual estimation has been reported to yield ejection fractions that correspond closely to those obtained by angiography (368) or gated blood pool scanning (369). In addition to measures of LV systolic function, echo-Doppler characteristics of the pulsed-Doppler transmitral velocity pattern can help assess diastolic function (370), although its independent prognostic value has not been established.

Left ventricular mass and wall thickness-to-chamber radius ratio, as measured from echocardiographic images, have both been shown to be independent of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality (371-373). The LV mass can be measured from two-dimensional or two-dimensionally directed M-mode echocardiographic images.

Radionuclide ejection fraction may be measured at rest with a gamma camera, a 99mTc tracer, and first-pass or gated equilibrium blood pool angiography (13) or gated SPECT perfusion imaging (257). Diastolic function can also be assessed by radionuclide ventriculography (374,375). It should be noted that LV ejection fraction and other indexes of myocardial contractile performance are limited by their dependence on loading conditions and heart rate (146,376).

Although magnetic resonance imaging is less widely disseminated, it may also be used to assess LV performance, including ejection fraction (377).

Left Ventricular Segmental Wall-Motion Abnormalities

In patients with chronic stable angina and a history of previous MI, segmental wall-motion abnormalities can be seen not only in the zone(s) of prior infarction but also in areas with ischemic “stunning” or “hibernation” of myocardium that is nonfunctional but still viable (143,148,151,378-380).

The sum of these segmental abnormalities reflects total ventricular functional impairment, which may overestimate true anatomic infarct size or radionuclide perfusion defect (380). Thus, echocardiographically derived infarct size (143) correlates only modestly with 201Tl perfusion defects (151), peak creatine kinase levels (148,381), hemodynamic changes (143), and pathologic findings (379). However, it does predict the development of early (382) and late (383) complications and mortality (143,384).

As mentioned previously (Sections II.C.3 and II.C.4), recent developments in both echocardiography (tissue harmonic imaging and intravenous contrast agents to assess the endocardium) and myocardial perfusion imaging (gated SPECT imaging to assess global and regional function) should improve the ability of both techniques to assess LV function.

Ischemic Mitral Regurgitation, LV Aneurysm, and LV Thrombosis

In patients with chronic ischemic heart disease, mitral regurgitation may result from global LV systolic dysfunction (161), regional papillary muscle dysfunction (162), scarring and shortening of the submitral chords (163), papillary muscle rupture (164), or other causes. The presence, severity, and mechanism of mitral regurgitation can be reliably detected by transthoracic imaging and Doppler echocardiographic techniques (13). Potential surgical approaches also can be defined. In addition, chronic stable angina patients who have ischemic mitral regurgitation have a worse prognosis than those without regurgitation.

In patients with chronic angina and concomitant heart failure or significant ventricular arrhythmias, the presence or absence of ventricular aneurysm can generally be established by transthoracic echocardiography (385,386). When an aneurysm is demonstrated, the function of the nonaneurysmal portion of the left ventricle is an important consideration in the choice of medical or surgical therapy (387). Echocardiography is the definitive test for detecting intracardiac thrombi (388-394). The LV thrombi are most common in stable angina pectoris patients who have significant LV wall-motion abnormalities.

In patients with anterior and apical infarctions (388,392-394), the presence of LV thrombi denotes an increased risk of both embolism (389) and death (391). In addition, the structural appearance of a thrombus, which can be defined by transthoracic (or transesophageal) echocardiography, has some prognostic significance. Sessile, laminar thrombi represent less of a potential embolic risk than do pedunculated and mobile thrombi (13).

Asymptomatic Patients

In asymptomatic patients with a history of documented MI or Q waves on ECG, measurement of global LV systolic function is important. The recommendations listed earlier in this section for symptomatic patients are applicable. Echocardiography or RNA may help to confirm the history or ECG evidence of prior infarction by the demonstration of global or regional dysfunction. A decreased ejection fraction is prognostically important even in the absence of symptoms. Therapy with an angiotensin converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitor and a beta-blocker may then be appropriate. This issue is addressed in detail in the “ACC/AHA Guidelines for the Evaluation and Management of Chronic Heart Failure in the Adult” (897).

2. Exercise Testing for Risk Stratification and Prognosis

Recommendations for Risk Assessment and Prognosis in Patients With an Intermediate or High Probability of CAD

Class I

1. Patients undergoing initial evaluation. (Exceptions are listed below in Classes IIb and III) (Level of Evidence: B)

2. Patients after a significant change in cardiac symptoms. (Level of Evidence: C)

Class IIb

1. Patients with the following ECG abnormalities:

a. Pre-excitation (Wolff-Parkinson-White) syndrome. (Level of Evidence: B)

b. Electronically paced ventricular rhythm. (Level of Evidence: B)

c. More than 1 mm of ST depression at rest. (Level of Evidence: B)

d. Complete left bundle-branch block. (Level of Evidence: B)

2. Patients who have undergone cardiac catheterization to identify ischemia in the distribution of coronary lesion of borderline severity. (Level of Evidence: C)

3. Postrevascularization patients who have a significant change in anginal pattern suggestive of ischemia. (Level of Evidence: C)

Class III

Patients with severe comorbidity likely to limit life expectancy or prevent revascularization. (Level of Evidence: C)

Risk Stratification for Death or MI: General Considerations

Risk stratification with the exercise test does not take place in isolation but as part of a process that includes other data from the clinical examination and other laboratory tests. Thus, the value of exercise testing for risk stratification must be considered in light of what is added to what is already known about the patient’s risk status. Most research on exercise testing has concentrated on its relationship with future survival and, to a lesser extent, freedom from MI. The summary presented here is based on the “ACC/AHA 2002 Guideline Update for Exercise Testing” (14,894).

Risk Stratification With the Exercise Test

The risk of exercise testing in appropriately selected candidates is extremely low, and thus the main argument for not performing an exercise test is that the extra information provided would not be worth the extra cost of obtaining that information, or that the test might provide misinformation that could lead to inappropriate testing or therapy.

Unless cardiac catheterization is indicated, symptomatic patients with suspected or known CAD should usually undergo exercise testing to assess the risk of future cardiac events unless they have confounding features on the rest ECG. Furthermore, documentation of exercise-induced ischemia is desirable for most patients who are being evaluated for revascularization (72,395).

The choice of initial stress test should be based on the patient’s rest ECG, physical ability to perform exercise, local expertise, and available technologies. Patients with a normal rest ECG constitute a large and important subgroup. Most patients who present with angina for the first time have a normal rest ECG (49). Such patients are very likely (92% to 96%) to have normal LV function (141,142,396) and therefore an excellent prognosis (49). The exercise ECG has a higher specificity in the absence of rest ST-T changes, LVH, and digoxin.

Several studies have examined the incremental value of exercise imaging procedures compared with the exercise ECG in patients with a normal rest ECG who are not taking digoxin (Table 19). In analyses (397,398) that included clinical and exercise ECG parameters for the prediction of left main or three-vessel disease, the modest benefit of imaging does not appear to justify its cost, which has been estimated at $20 550 per additional patient correctly classified (397). For the prediction of subsequent cardiac events, four separate analyses have failed to demonstrate incremental value. Mattera et al. (399) did find some incremental value, but only for the prediction of hard and soft events (including unstable angina) and only if the exercise ECG was abnormal. They still favored a stepwise strategy that used the exercise ECG as the initial test, like that proposed by others (83,400).

For these reasons, the committee favored a stepwise strategy in which the exercise ECG, and not stress imaging procedures, is performed as the initial test in patients who are not taking digoxin, have a normal rest ECG, and are able to exercise. In contrast, a stress-imaging technique should be used for patients with widespread rest ST depression (greater than 1 mm), complete left bundle-branch block, ventricular paced rhythm, or pre-excitation. Although exercise capacity can be assessed in such patients, exercise-induced ischemia cannot. Patients unable to exercise because of physical limitations such as reduced exercise capacity, arthritis, amputations, severe peripheral vascular disease, or severe chronic obstructive pulmonary disease should undergo pharmacologic stress testing in combination with imaging.

The primary evidence that exercise testing can be used to estimate prognosis and assist in management decisions consists of seven observational studies (354,355,401-405). One of the strongest and most consistent prognostic markers is maximum exercise capacity. This measure is at least partly influenced by the extent of rest LV dysfunction and the amount of further LV dysfunction induced by exercise. However, the relationship between exercise capacity and LV function is complex, because exercise capacity is also affected by age, general physical conditioning, comorbidities, and psychological state, especially depression (406). Exercise capacity is measured by maximum exercise duration, maximum MET level achieved, maximum workload achieved, maximum heart rate, and double product. The specific variable used to measure exercise capacity is less important than the inclusion of exercise capacity in the assessment. The translation of exercise duration or workload into METs provides a standard measure of performance regardless of the type of exercise test or protocol used.

A second group of prognostic markers is related to exercise-induced ischemia. ST-segment depression and elevation (in leads without pathological Q waves and not in aVR) best summarize the prognostic information related to ischemia (401). Other variables are less powerful, including angina, the number of leads with ST-segment depression, the configuration of the ST depression (downsloping, horizontal, or upsloping), and the duration of ST deviation into the recovery phase.

The Duke treadmill score combines this information and provides a way to calculate risk (37,401). The Duke treadmill score equals the exercise time in minutes minus (5 times the ST-segment deviation, during or after exercise, in millimeters) minus (4 times the angina index, which has a value of “0” if there is no angina, “1” if angina occurs, and “2” if angina is the reason for stopping the test). Among outpatients with suspected CAD, the two thirds of patients with scores indicating low risk had a four-year survival rate of 99% (average annual mortality rate 0.25%), and the 4% who had scores indicating high risk had a four-year survival rate of 79% (average annual mortality rate 5%; see Table 20). The score works well for both inpatients and outpatients, and preliminary data suggest that the score works equally well for men and women (37,409,410). Only a small number of elderly patients have been studied, however. Comparable scores have been developed by others (402).

Several studies have highlighted the prognostic performance of other parameters from the exercise test: chronotropic incompetence (898,899), abnormal heart rate recovery (900-905), and delayed systolic blood pressure response (906). As indicated in the 2002 update of the ACC/AHA Guidelines for Exercise Testing (907), further work is needed to define their role in the risk stratification of symptomatic patients relative to other well-validated treadmill test parameters.

Because of its simplicity, lower cost, and widespread familiarity with its performance and interpretation, the standard exercise test is the most reasonable one to select for men with a normal rest ECG who are able to exercise. The optimal testing strategy remains less well defined in women. Until adequate data are available to resolve this issue, it is reasonable to use exercise testing for risk stratification in women.

Use of Exercise Test Results in Patient Management

The results of exercise testing may be used to titrate medical therapy to the desired level of effectiveness. For example, a normal heart rate response to exercise suggests that the dose of beta-blocker should be increased. Testing for this purpose should generally be performed with the patient on medication. The other major management step addressed by the exercise test is whether to proceed with additional testing, which might lead to revascularization.

Proceeding with additional testing usually involves imaging. Although both stress echocardiography and stress SPECT perfusion imaging have been used after exercise testing, only SPECT perfusion imaging has been studied in patients divided into risk groups based on the Duke treadmill score (410). In patients with an intermediate-risk treadmill score, imaging appears to be useful for further risk stratification. In patients with a high-risk treadmill score, imaging may identify enough low-risk patients who can avoid cardiac catheterization to justify the cost of routine imaging, but further study is required. Few patients (less than 5%) who have a low-risk treadmill score will be identified as high risk after imaging, and thus the cost of identifying these patients argues against routine imaging (410).

Patients with a predicted average annual cardiac mortality rate of less than or equal to 1% per year (low-risk score) can be managed medically without the need for cardiac catheterization. Patients with a predicted average annual cardiac mortality rate greater than or equal to 3% per year (high-risk score) should be referred for cardiac catheterization. Patients with a predicted average annual cardiac mortality rate of 1% to 3% per year (intermediate-risk score) should have either cardiac catheterization or an exercise imaging study. Those with known LV dysfunction should have cardiac catheterization.

Recommendation for Exercise Testing in Patients With Chest Pain 6 Months or More After Revascularization

Class IIb

Patients with a significant change in anginal pattern suggestive of ischemia. (Level of Evidence: B)

RATIONALE. There are two postrevascularization phases. In the early phase, the goal of exercise testing is to determine the immediate result of revascularization. In the late phase, which begins 6 months after revascularization and is the focus of this discussion, the goal is to assist in the evaluation and management of patients with chronic established CAD. Exercise testing also may be helpful in guiding a cardiac rehabilitation program and return-to-work decisions.

Exercise Testing After CABG

Exercise testing distinguishes cardiac from noncardiac causes of chest pain, which is often atypical after surgery. After CABG, the exercise ECG has a number of limitations. Rest ECG abnormalities are frequent, and if an imaging test is not incorporated into the study, more attention must be paid to symptom status, hemodynamic response, and exercise capacity. Because of these considerations and the need to document the site of ischemia, stress imaging tests are preferred for evaluating patients in this group.

Exercise Testing After PCI

Similar considerations apply to angioplasty patients. Restenosis is more frequent, however. Although most restenosis occurs less than 6 months after angioplasty, a period when these recommendations do not apply, restenosis does occur later. The exercise ECG is an insensitive predictor of restenosis, with sensitivities ranging from 40% to 55%, significantly less than those with SPECT (12,411) or exercise echocardiography (13,412). Because of these considerations and the need to document the site of ischemia, stress imaging tests are preferred for evaluating symptomatic patients in this group.

Some authorities advocate routine testing for all patients in the late phase after PCI with either exercise ECGs or stress imaging, because restenosis commonly induces silent ischemia. The rationale for this approach is that ischemia, whether painful or silent, worsens prognosis (413,414). This approach appears particularly attractive for high-risk patients, for example, those with decreased LV function, multivessel CAD, proximal left anterior descending artery disease, previous sudden death, diabetes mellitus, hazardous occupations, or suboptimal PCI results. If routine testing is done, there are insufficient data to justify a particular frequency of testing after angioplasty. The alternative approach, which the committee labeled Class IIb because the prognostic benefit of controlling silent ischemia needs to be proved, is to selectively evaluate only patients with a significant change in anginal pattern.

Recommendations for Exercise Testing for Risk Assessment and Prognosis in Asymptomatic Patients

Class IIb

Asymptomatic patients with possible myocardial ischemia on ambulatory ECG monitoring or with severe coronary calcification on EBCT (exceptions are listed below in III). (Level of Evidence: C)

Class III

1. Asymptomatic patients with possible myocardial ischemia on ambulatory ECG monitoring or with severe coronary calcification on EBCT, but with the following baseline ECG abnormalities:

a. Pre-excitation (Wolff-Parkinson-White) syndrome. (Level of Evidence: B)

b. Electronically paced ventricular rhythm. (Level of Evidence: B)

c. More than 1 mm of ST depression at rest. (Level of Evidence: B)

d. Complete left bundle-branch block. (Level of Evidence: B)

In asymptomatic patients with known or suspected CAD on the basis of possible myocardial ischemia on ambulatory ECG monitoring, severe coronary calcification on EBCT, or an established diagnosis of CAD because of prior MI or coronary angiography, risk stratification and prognosis are more important considerations than diagnosis. Because the treatment of asymptomatic patients cannot improve their symptoms, the principal goal of evaluation and treatment is the improvement of patient outcome by reducing the rate of death and nonfatal MI. In one large study dominated by asymptomatic patients, the Duke treadmill score predicted subsequent cardiac events . However, the absolute event rate was low, even in patients with high-risk scores, which suggests that the ability to improve outcome with revascularization in such patients is limited. Asymptomatic patients with intermediate-risk or high-risk Duke treadmill scores may be candidates for more intensive risk factor reduction. Patients with low-risk Duke treadmill scores can clearly be reassured regarding their low risk for subsequent cardiac events.

3. Stress Imaging Studies (Radionuclide and Echocardiography)

Recommendations for Cardiac Stress Imaging as the Initial Test for Risk Stratification of Patients With Chronic Stable Angina Who Are Able to Exercise

Class I

1. Exercise myocardial perfusion imaging or exercise echocardiography to identify the extent, severity, and location of ischemia in patients who do not have left bundle-branch block or an electronically paced ventricular rhythm and who either have an abnormal rest ECG or are using digoxin. (Level of Evidence: B)

2. Dipyridamole or adenosine myocardial perfusion imaging in patients with left bundle-branch block or electronically paced ventricular rhythm. (Level of Evidence: B)

3. Exercise myocardial perfusion imaging or exercise echocardiography to assess the functional significance of coronary lesions (if not already known) in planning PCI. (Level of Evidence: B)

Class IIb

1. Exercise or dobutamine echocardiography in patients with left bundle-branch block. (Level of Evidence: C)

2. Exercise, dipyridamole, or adenosine myocardial perfusion imaging, or exercise or dobutamine echocardiography as the initial test in patients who have a normal rest ECG and who are not taking digoxin. (Level of Evidence: B)

Class III

1. Exercise myocardial perfusion imaging in patients with left bundle-branch block. (Level of Evidence: C)

2. Exercise, dipyridamole, or adenosine myocardial perfusion imaging, or exercise or dobutamine echocardiography in patients with severe comorbidity likely to limit life expectation or prevent revascularization. (Level of Evidence: C)

Recommendations for Cardiac Stress Imaging as the Initial Test for Risk Stratification of Patients With Chronic Stable Angina Who Are Unable to Exercise

Class I

1. Dipyridamole or adenosine myocardial perfusion imaging or dobutamine echocardiography to identify the extent, severity, and location of ischemia in patients who do not have left bundle-branch block or electronically paced ventricular rhythm. (Level of Evidence: B)

2. Dipyridamole or adenosine myocardial perfusion imaging in patients with left bundle-branch block or electronically paced ventricular rhythm. (Level of Evidence: B)

3. Dipyridamole or adenosine myocardial perfusion imaging or dobutamine echocardiography to assess the functional significance of coronary lesions (if not already known) in planning PCI. (Level of Evidence: B)

Class IIb

Dobutamine echocardiography in patients with left bundle-branch block. (Level of Evidence: C)

Class III

Dipyridamole or adenosine myocardial perfusion imaging or dobutamine echocardiography in patients with severe comorbidity likely to limit life expectation or prevent revascularization. (Level of Evidence: C)

Available Stress Imaging Approaches

Stress imaging studies with radionuclide myocardial perfusion imaging techniques or two-dimensional echocardiogra phy at rest and during stress are useful for risk stratification and determination of the most beneficial management strategy for patients with chronic stable angina (415-417). Whenever possible, treadmill or bicycle exercise should be used as the most appropriate form of stress, because it provides the most information concerning patient symptoms, cardiovascular function, and hemodynamic response during usual forms of activity (14,894). In fact, the inability to perform a bicycle or exercise treadmill test is in itself a negative prognostic factor for patients with chronic CAD.

In patients who cannot perform an adequate amount of bicycle or treadmill exercise, various types of pharmacologic stress are useful for risk stratification (12,13,217,418). The selection of the type of pharmacologic stress will depend on specific patient factors, such as the patient’s heart rate and blood pressure, the presence or absence of bronchospastic disease, the presence of left bundle-branch block or a pacemaker, and the likelihood of ventricular arrhythmias.

Pharmacologic agents are often used to increase cardiac workload as a substitute for treadmill or bicycle exercise or to cause an increase in overall coronary blood flow (224,225). For the former effect, adrenergic-stimulating drugs (such as dobutamine or arbutamine) are usually used, and for the latter effect, vasodilating agents (such as dipyridamole or adenosine) are generally used (12,13,217,224,225,418) (see Section II.C.4).

Radionuclide imaging has played a major role in risk stratification of patients with CAD. Either planar (three conventional views) or SPECT (multiple tomographic slices in three planes) imaging with 201Tl or 99mTc perfusion tracers with images obtained at stress and during rest provide important information about the severity of functionally significant CAD (180-188,191,192,199,204,205,419).

More recently, stress echocardiography has been used to assess patients with chronic stable angina; thus, the amount of prognostic data obtained with this approach is somewhat limited. Nevertheless, the presence or absence of inducible myocardial wall-motion abnormalities has useful predictive value in patients undergoing exercise or pharmacologic stress echocardiography. A negative stress echocardiography study denotes a low cardiovascular event rate during followup (420-428).

Important Findings on Stress Perfusion Studies for Risk Stratification

Normal poststress thallium scan results are highly predictive of a benign prognosis even in patients with known coronary disease (12). A collation of 16 studies involving 3594 patients followed up for a mean of 29 months indicated a rate of cardiac death and MI of 0.9% per year (429), nearly as low as that of the general population (430). In a recent prospective study of 5183 consecutive patients who underwent myocardial perfusion studies during stress and later at rest, patients with normal scans were at low risk (less than 0.5% per year) for cardiac death and MI during 642 (plus or minus 226) days of mean follow-up, and rates of both outcomes increased significantly with worsening scan abnormalities (431). The presence of a normal stress myocardial perfusion scan indicates such a low likelihood of significant CAD that coronary arteriography is usually not indicated as a subsequent test. Although the published data are limited, the single exception would appear to be patients with high-risk treadmill scores and normal images (431).

The number, extent, and site of abnormalities on stress myocardial perfusion scintigrams reflect the location and severity of functionally significant coronary artery stenoses. Lung uptake of 201Tl on postexercise or pharmacologic stress images is an indicator of stress-induced global LV dysfunction and is associated with pulmonary venous hypertension in the presence of multivessel CAD (432-435). Transient poststress ischemic LV dilation also correlates with severe two- or three-vessel CAD (436-439). Several studies have suggested that SPECT may be more accurate than planar imaging for determining the size of defects, detecting coronary and particularly left circumflex CAD, and localizing abnormalities in the distribution of individual coronary arteries (180,204,419). However, more false-positive results are likely to result from photon attenuation during SPECT imaging (12).

The number, size, and location of perfusion abnormalities; the amount of lung uptake of 201Tl on poststress images; and the presence or absence of poststress ischemic LV dilation can be combined to maximize the recognition of high-risk patients, including those with multivessel disease, left main CAD, and disease of the proximal portion of the left anterior descending coronary artery (LAD). Incremental prognostic information from the results of stress myocardial perfusion imaging can determine the likelihood of subsequent important cardiac events. The number of transient perfusion defects, whether provoked by exercise or pharmacologic stress, is a reliable predictor of subsequent cardiac death or nonfatal MI (180,419,440-447). The number of stenotic coronary arteries may be less predictive than the number of reversible perfusion defects (440-450). The magnitude of the perfusion abnormality was the single most prognostic indicator in a study that demonstrated independent and incremental prognostic information from SPECT 201Tl scintigraphy compared with that obtained from clinical, exercise treadmill, and catheterization data (451). As indicated previously, increased lung uptake of thallium induced by exercise or pharmacologic stress is associated with a high risk for cardiac events (12,452).

Information concerning both myocardial perfusion and ventricular function at rest may be helpful in determining the extent and severity of coronary disease (181,183,453). This combined information can be obtained by performing two separate exercise tests (e.g., stress perfusion scintigraphy and stress RNA) or combining the studies after one exercise test (e.g., first-pass RNA with 99mTc-based agents followed by perfusion imaging or perfusion imaging with gating). However, an additional benefit of the greater information provided by combined myocardial perfusion and ventricular function exercise testing has not been shown in clinical outcome or prognostic studies (12). Thus, one determination of LV function at rest and one measure of exercise/pharmacologic stress-induced myocardial perfusion or exercise ventricular function, but not both, are appropriate (12). The prognostic value of stress myocardial perfusion imaging in chronic stable angina is summarized in Table 21 (studies with greater than 100 patients who did not have recent MI and that included both positive and negative perfusion images).

Application of Myocardial Perfusion Imaging to Specific Patient Subsets

PATIENTS WITH A NORMAL REST ECG. Myocardial perfusion imaging has little advantage over the less expensive treadmill exercise test in this subset of patients. Three separate studies (402,404,405) have demonstrated little if any incremental value of myocardial perfusion imaging in the initial evaluation of such patients. As mentioned previously (Section III.2), many such patients will have low-risk treadmill scores and will not require further evaluation.

CONCOMITANT USE OF DRUGS. As mentioned previously (Sections II.2 and II.4), beta-blockers (and other antiischemic drugs) should be withheld for four to five half-lives before testing. However, even if these drugs are continued, most high-risk patients will usually still be identified (14,894). Nitrates may also decrease the extent of perfusion defects or even convert abnormal exercise scan results to normal results (462).

WOMEN, THE ELDERLY, OR OBESE PATIENTS. The treadmill ECG test is less accurate for the diagnosis of CHD in women, who have a lower pretest likelihood than men (194). However, the sensitivity of thallium perfusion scans may be lower in women than in men (194,245). Artifacts due to breast attenuation, usually manifest in the anterior wall, can be an important consideration in the interpretation of women’s scans, especially when 201Tl is used as a tracer (12). As mentioned previously, 99mTc sestamibi may be preferable to 201Tl scintigraphy for determining prognosis and diagnosing CAD in women with large breasts or breast implants (248).

Although many elderly patients can perform an exercise test, some are unable to do so because of physical impairment. Pharmacologic stress imaging is an appropriate option for risk stratification in such patients. Very obese patients constitute a specific problem because most imaging tables used for SPECT have weight-bearing limits (usually 300 to 450 lb) that preclude imaging very heavy subjects. These subjects can still be imaged by planar scintigraphy (12). Obese patients often have suboptimal perfusion images, especially with 201Tl because of the marked photon attenuation by soft tissue. In these patients, 99mTc sestamibi is probably the most appropriate and should provide images of better quality than 201Tl.

LEFT BUNDLE-BRANCH BLOCK. As mentioned previously (Section II.4), pharmacologic stress perfusion imaging is preferable to exercise perfusion imaging in patients with left bundle-branch block. Recently, 245 patients with left bundle-branch block underwent SPECT imaging with 201Tl (n = 173) or 99mTc sestamibi (n = 72) during dipyridamole (n = 153) or adenosine (n = 92) stress testing (463). Patients with a large, severe fixed defect, a large reversible defect, or cardiac enlargement and either increased pulmonary uptake (thallium) or decreased ejection fraction (sestamibi) were classified as high-risk patients (n = 20). The rest were classified as low risk. The three-year overall survival rate was 57% in the high-risk group compared with 87% in the low-risk group (p = 0.001). Patients with a low-risk scan had an overall survival rate that was not significantly different from that of the U.S.-matched population (p = 0.86). The value of pharmacologic perfusion imaging for prognostication was confirmed in three other studies (464-466) that included more than 300 patients followed up for a mean of nearly three years. Normal dipyridamole or adenosine scans were associated with a low cardiac event rate; large defects and increased pulmonary uptake were associated with a high cardiac event rate.

AFTER CORONARY ANGIOGRAPHY. Myocardial perfusion imaging is useful in planning revascularization procedures because it demonstrates whether a specific coronary stenosis is associated with the stress-induced perfusion abnormality (12). Myocardial perfusion imaging is particularly helpful in determining the functional importance of single or multiple stenoses when PCI is targeted to the “culprit lesion,” that is, the ischemia-provoking stenosis (12,463,467-469).

AFTER MYOCARDIAL REVASCULARIZATION. Myocardial perfusion imaging can be useful in several situations after coronary bypass surgery. In patients with ST-T-wave abnormalities at rest, recurrent myocardial ischemia during stress can be better evaluated by exercise scintigraphy than ECG treadmill testing. In addition, approximately 30% have an abnormal ECG response on treadmill exercise testing early after bypass surgery (470); these patients can be assessed for potential and incomplete revascularization and the extent of myocardium affected. Patients with initial negative postoperative treadmill test results that later become positive usually have progressive ischemia due to either graft closure or progression of disease in the native circulation (471). Myocardial perfusion scintigraphy can be useful in determining the location, extent, and severity of such ischemia (12). Its prognostic value has been demonstrated both early (472) and late (473-475) after CABG.

AFTER EXERCISE TESTING. In patients who perform a treadmill exercise test that is not associated with an adequate exercise effort necessary to risk stratify the patient appropriately, a repeat exercise test with thallium scintigraphy or a myocardial perfusion imaging test with pharmacologic stress may give a better indication of the presence or absence of highrisk coronary disease (14,894).

Important Findings on Stress Echocardiography for Risk Stratification

Stress echocardiography is both sensitive and specific for detecting inducible myocardial ischemia in patients with chronic stable angina (13) (see Section II.C.4). Compared with standard exercise treadmill testing, stress echocardiography provides an additional clinical value for detecting and localizing myocardial ischemia. The results of stress echocardiography may provide important prognostic value. Several studies indicate that patients at low, intermediate, and high risk for cardiac events can be stratified on the presence or absence of inducible wall-motion abnormalities on stress echocardiography testing. A positive stress echocardiographic study can be useful in determining the location and severity of inducible ischemia, even in a patient with a high pretest likelihood that disease is present. A negative stress echocardiographic evaluation predicts a low risk for future cardiovascular events (420-428).

However, the value of a negative study compared with a negative thallium study must be further documented, because there are fewer follow-up data than with radionuclide imaging. Recently, McCully et al. (476) assessed the outcomes of 1325 patients who had normal exercise echocardiograms with overall and cardiac event-free survival as end points. Cardiac events included cardiac death, nonfatal MI, and coronary revascularization. The event-free survival rates were 99.2% at one year, 97.8% at two years, and 97.4% at three years. Table 22 summarizes the prognostic value of stress echocardiography from the literature (studies with more than 100 patients who did not have recent MI and that included both positive and negative echocardiograms). The presence of ischemia on the exercise echocardiogram is inde pendent and incremental to clinical and exercise data in predicting cardiac events in both men and women (477,478). The prognosis is not benign in patients with a positive stress echocardiographic study. In this subset, morbid or fatal cardiovascular events are more likely, but the overall event rates are rather variable. Hence, the cost-effectiveness of using routine stress echocardiographic testing to establish prognosis is uncertain.

In general, patients with a positive ECG response to treadmill stress testing but no inducible wall-motion abnormality on stress echocardiography have a very low rate of adverse cardiovascular events during follow-up (13,420,421), albeit higher than in patients with negative ECG results as well. However, the number of patients followed up after both stress ECG and stress echocardiography is relatively small, and there has been no breakdown into groups with various METs achieved during ECG treadmill testing and with different risks according to the treadmill score (see Section II.C.2).

In patients with a significant clinical suspicion of CAD, stress echocardiography is appropriate for risk stratification when standard exercise testing is likely to be suboptimal (14,894). A variety of methods can be used to induce stress. Treadmill stress echocardiography may have lowered sensitivity if there is a significant delay from the end of exercise to the acquisition of postexercise images. Dobutamine stress echocardiography has substantially higher sensitivity than vasodilator stress echocardiography for detecting coronary stenoses (13,224,225,479). Sensitivity can also be diminished if all myocardial segments are not adequately visualized.

Application of Stress Echocardiography to Specific Patient Subsets

WOMEN, THE ELDERLY, AND OBESE PATIENTS. There are some recent data concerning the usefulness of stress echocardiography in women compared with men. Two studies by Marwick and associates (129,479) define the predictive value of exercise echocardiography as an independent predictor of cardiac events in women with known or suspected CAD. Symptom-limited exercise echocardiography was performed in 508 consecutive women (aged 55 plus or minus 10 years) between 1989 and 1993 (129), with a follow-up of 41 (plus or minus 10) months. Cardiac events occurred in 7% of women, and exercise echocardiography provided key prognostic information incremental to clinical and exercise testing data with a Cox proportional hazard model. In another group of women, the specificity of exercise echocardiography for indicating CAD and potential risk exceeded that of exercise electrocardiography (80% plus or minus 3% vs. 64% plus or minus 3%, p = 0.05) and was a more cost-effective approach (129). Although these data are promising, the committee thought that in most women, ECG treadmill testing should still be the first choice for detecting high-risk inducible myocardial ischemia.

The echocardiographic window and the number of myocardial segments detected during exercise or dobutamine echocardiography are often suboptimal in very obese patients and many elderly patients who have chronic obstructive lung disease and a suboptimal echocardiographic window. As mentioned previously (Section II.C.3), tissue harmonic imaging and contrast echocardiography should improve detection of the endocardium.

LEFT BUNDLE-BRANCH BLOCK. Like exercise myocardial perfusion imaging studies, the significance of stress-induced echocardiography wall-motion abnormalities in patients with left bundle-branch block is unreliable (13). During either exercise or dobutamine stimulation, abnormal contraction of the intraventricular septum has been a frequent occurrence in patients with left bundle-branch block who do not have underlying disease of the LAD.

AFTER CORONARY ANGIOGRAPHY. Echocardiographic studies may help in planning revascularization procedures by demonstrating the functional significance of a given coronary stenosis. This may be of particular value in determining the need for PCI, especially when the degree of angiographic stenosis is of uncertain physiologic significance or when multiple lesions are present (13).

AFTER REVASCULARIZATION. When symptoms persist or recur six months or more after CABG, echocardiographic testing can be useful. Abnormal baseline ECG findings after cardiac surgery are common, and postbypass patients frequently have abnormal ECG responses on standard treadmill testing. When symptoms of ischemia suggest incomplete revascularization, stress echocardiography studies may demonstrate the location and severity of residual ischemia. When symptoms recur after initial relief and the stress echocardiogram demonstrates inducible ischemia, either graft closure or the development of new coronary artery obstructive lesions is likely (482).

AFTER TREADMILL EXERCISE TESTING. As with stress myocardial perfusion imaging, stress echocardiography may provide additional information in patients unable to perform appropriate exercise on the treadmill and in those who have an intermediate risk determined by ECG criteria during exercise testing (13).

ASYMPTOMATIC PATIENTS

Recommendations for Cardiac Stress Imaging as the Initial Test for Risk Stratification in Asymptomatic Patients

Class IIb

1. Exercise perfusion imaging or exercise echocardiography in asymptomatic patients with severe coronary calcification on EBCT who are able to exercise and have one of the following baseline ECG abnormalities:

a. Pre-excitation (Wolff-Parkinson-White) syndrome. (Level of Evidence: C)

b. More than 1 mm of ST depression at rest. (Level of Evidence: C)

2. Adenosine or dipyridamole myocardial perfusion imaging in patients with severe coronary calcification on EBCT, but with one of the following baseline ECG abnormalities:

a. Electronically paced ventricular rhythm. (Level of Evidence: C)

b. Left bundle-branch block. (Level of Evidence: C)

3. Adenosine or dipyridamole myocardial perfusion imaging or dobutamine echocardiography in patients with possible myocardial ischemia on ambulatory ECG monitoring or with severe coronary calcification on EBCT who are unable to exercise. (Level of Evidence: C)

Class III

1. Exercise or dobutamine echocardiography in asymptomatic patients with left bundle-branch block. (Level of Evidence: C)

2. Exercise myocardial perfusion imaging, exercise echocardiography, adenosine or dipyridamole myocardial perfusion imaging, or dobutamine echocardiography as the initial stress test in an asymptomatic patient with a normal rest ECG who is not taking digoxin. (Level of Evidence: C)

3. Adenosine or dipyridamole myocardial perfusion imaging or dobutamine echocardiography in asymptomatic patients who are able to exercise. (Level of Evidence: C)

Recommendations for Cardiac Stress Imaging After Exercise ECG Testing for Risk Stratification in Asymptomatic Patients

Class IIb

1. Exercise myocardial perfusion imaging or exercise echocardiography in asymptomatic patients with an intermediate-risk or high-risk Duke treadmill score on exercise ECG testing. (Level of Evidence: C)

2. Adenosine or dipyridamole myocardial perfusion imaging or dobutamine echocardiography in asymptomatic patients with a previously inadequate exercise ECG. (Level of Evidence: C)

Class III

Exercise myocardial perfusion imaging, exercise echocardiography, adenosine or dipyridamole myocardial perfusion imaging, or dobutamine echocardiography in asymptomatic patients with a low-risk Duke treadmill score on exercise ECG testing. (Level of Evidence: C)

As already discussed in Section III.C.2, asymptomatic patients who are able to exercise can usually be evaluated with exercise ECG testing. Stress imaging procedures should be reserved for patients with resting ECG abnormalities and severe coronary calcification on EBCT, patients who are unable to exercise, and as a second test for patients with an intermediate-risk or high-risk Duke treadmill score on initial exercise ECG testing. Published data demonstrating the efficacy of stress imaging procedures in these specific circumstances are scant. Some of the published series listed in Tables 21 and 22 did include asymptomatic patients. However, this subset of patients was generally not analyzed separately. Blumenthal et al. reported a small study using exercise thallium testing in siblings of patients with premature coronary atherosclerosis (814). They demonstrated that the combination of an abnormal exercise ECG and a positive thallium image was prognostically important. However, many of the events included in their analysis were subsequent revascularizations, the performance of which was clearly influenced by the results of the exercise thallium test. Given the generally low event rate in asymptomatic patients, the ability of stress imaging procedures to identify a subset with a substantial absolute risk of subsequent events is problematic, with the possible exception of patients with previous MI.

D. Coronary Angiography and Left Ventriculography

The availability of potent but expensive strategies to reduce the long-term risk of CAD mandates that the patients most likely to benefit, namely, those at increased risk, be identified. This effort poses a significant challenge to both the cardiovascular specialist and primary-care physician (41,134,333,483-486). It is important to recognize that the science of risk prediction is only now evolving, and in the case of coronary atherosclerosis, methods of identifying vulnerable plaques, the precursors of coronary events, are lacking (41,134,333,485-487).

Assessment of cardiac risk and decisions regarding further testing usually begin with simple, repeatable, and inexpensive assessments of history and physical examination and extend to noninvasive or invasive testing, depending on outcome. Clinical risk factors are in general additive, and a crude estimate of one-year mortality can be obtained from these variables. An index has been developed that is the sum of the age plus a score based on symptoms plus comorbidity (diabetes, peripheral vascular disease, cerebrovascular disease, prior MI) (485). It is important to note that one-year mortality rates of patients without severe comorbidity who have stable, progressive, and unstable angina are similar (range 1.3% to 1.7%), which shows the limited predictive value of symptom severity alone (485). Patients with mild anginal symptoms may have severe coronary disease (41,333,485), which is detectable only with noninvasive or invasive testing. LV dysfunction is a powerful determinant of long-term survival in patients with chronic stable angina pectoris (94,488). It may be inferred from extensive Q-wave formation on ECG or history of CHF or measured noninvasively by echocardiography, radionuclide techniques, or contrast angiography at the time of coronary angiography. The coexistence of significant LV dysfunction and chronic stable angina constitutes increased risk and warrants careful further evaluation.

Risk stratification of patients with chronic stable angina by stress testing with exercise or pharmacologic agents has been shown to permit identification of groups of patients with low, intermediate, or high risk of subsequent cardiac events (12,13,14,37,894) (see Sections III.B and III.C). Although one recent study (431) suggested that myocardial perfusion imaging can identify patients who are at low risk of death but increased risk of nonfatal MI, the major current focus of noninvasive risk stratification is on subsequent patient mortality. The rationale is to identify patients in whom coronary angiography and subsequent revascularization might improve survival. Such a strategy can be effective only if the patient’s prognosis with medical therapy is sufficiently poor that it can be improved.

Previous experience in the randomized trials of CABG demonstrated that patients randomized to initial CABG had a lower mortality rate than those treated with medical therapy only if they were at substantial risk (489). Low-risk patients who did not have a lower mortality rate with CABG had a five-year survival rate of about 95% with medical therapy. This is equivalent to an annual mortality rate of 1%. As a result, coronary angiography to identify patients whose prognosis can be improved is inappropriate when the estimated annual mortality rate is less than or equal to 1%. In contrast, patients with a survival advantage with CABG, such as those with three-vessel disease, have an annual mortality rate greater than or equal to 3%. Coronary angiography is appropriate for patients whose mortality risk is in this range.

Noninvasive test findings that identify high-risk patients are listed in Table 23. Patients identified as high risk are generally referred for coronary arteriography regardless of their symptomatic status. When appropriately used, noninvasive tests are less costly than coronary angiography and have an acceptable predictive value for adverse events (12,13,14,37,485,894). This is most true when the pretest probability of severe CAD is low. When the pretest probability of severe CAD is high, direct referral for coronary angiography without noninvasive testing has been shown to be most cost-effective (see Section III.A), because the total number of tests is reduced (335).

1. Coronary Angiography for Risk Stratification in Patients With Chronic Stable Angina

Recommendations

Class I

1. Patients with disabling (Canadian Cardiovascular Society [CCS] classes III and IV) chronic stable angina despite medical therapy. (Level of Evidence: B)

2. Patients with high-risk criteria on noninvasive testing (Table 23) regardless of anginal severity. (Level of Evidence: B)

3. Patients with angina who have survived sudden cardiac death or serious ventricular arrhythmia. (Level of Evidence: B)

4. Patients with angina and symptoms and signs of CHF. (Level of Evidence: C)

5. Patients with clinical characteristics that indicate a high likelihood of severe CAD. (Level of Evidence: C)

Class IIa

1. Patients with significant LV dysfunction (ejection fraction less than 45%), CCS class I or II angina, and demonstrable ischemia but less than high-risk criteria on noninvasive testing. (Level of Evidence: C)

2. Patients with inadequate prognostic information after noninvasive testing. (Level of Evidence: C)

Class IIb

1. Patients with CCS class I or II angina, preserved LV function (ejection fraction greater than 45%), and less than high-risk criteria on noninvasive testing. (Level of Evidence: C)

2. Patients with CCS class III or IV angina, which with medical therapy improves to class I or II. (Level of Evidence: C)

3. Patients with CCS class I or II angina but intolerance (unacceptable side effects) to adequate medical therapy. (Level of Evidence: C)

Class III

1. Patients with CCS class I or II angina who respond to medical therapy and who have no evidence of ischemia on noninvasive testing. (Level of Evidence: C)

2. Patients who prefer to avoid revascularization. (Level of Evidence: C)

2. Risk Stratification With Coronary Angiography

Coronary angiography, the traditional gold standard for clinical assessment of coronary atherosclerosis, has limitations. Coronary angiography is not a reliable indicator of the functional significance of a coronary stenosis and is insensitive in detection of a thrombus (an indicator of disease activity) (203,490).

More important, coronary angiography is ineffective in determining which plaques have characteristics likely to lead to acute coronary events, that is, the vulnerable plaque with a large lipid core, thin fibrous cap, and increased macrophages (491-494). Serial angiographic studies performed before and after acute events and early after MI suggest that plaques resulting in unstable angina and MI commonly produced less than 50% stenosis before the acute event and were therefore angiographically “silent” (495,496).

Despite these limitations of coronary angiography, the extent and severity of coronary disease and LV dysfunction identified on angiography are the most powerful clinical predictors of long-term outcome (41,134,485,497,498). Several prognostic indexes have been used to relate disease severity to the risk of subsequent cardiac events; the simplest and most widely used is the classification of disease into onevessel, two-vessel, three-vessel, or left main CAD (96,499-501). In the CASS registry of medically treated patients, the 12-year survival rate of patients with normal coronary arteries was 91% compared with 74% for those with one-vessel disease, 59% for those with two-vessel disease, and 40% for those with three-vessel disease (p less than 0.001) (488). The effect of LV dysfunction on survival was quite dramatic. In the CASS registry, the 12-year survival rate of patients with ejection fractions in the range of 50% to 100%, 35% to 49%, and less than 35% were 73%, 54%, and 21%, respectively (p less than 0.0001) (488). The importance of proximal coronary stenoses over distal lesions was recognized, and a “jeopardy score” was developed in which the prognostic significance of lesions was weighed as a function of lesion location (502). Recent angiographic studies indicate that a direct correlation also exists between the angiographic severity of coronary disease and the amount of angiographically insignificant plaque buildup elsewhere in the coronary tree. These studies suggest that the higher mortality rate of patients with multivessel disease may occur because they have more mildly stenotic or nonstenotic plaques that are potential sites for acute coronary events than those with onevessel disease (503). Whether new technology such as magnetic resonance imaging and EBCT scanning will provide incremental prognostic value by identifying and quantifying plaque and its components remains to be determined (504).

For many years, it has been known that patients with severe stenosis of the left main coronary artery have a poor prognosis when treated medically. In a hierarchical prognostic index, patients with severe left main coronary artery stenosis were given a prognostic weight