Blood Pressure Control and Mortality Risk in Older Adults

Study Questions:

Are blood pressure (BP) values <140/90 mm Hg during antihypertensive treatment associated with a decreased risk of all-cause mortality in community-dwelling older adults?

Methods:

The Berlin Initiative Study group assembled a cohort of patients ages ≥70 years treated with antihypertensive drugs at baseline (November 2009–June 2011). The prospective follow-up was to December 2016. Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess all-cause mortality associated with normalized systolic BP (sBP) defined as <140 mm Hg and diastolic BP (dBP) <90 mm Hg compared with non-normalized sBP ≥140 mm Hg or dBP ≥90 mm Hg overall and after stratification by age or previous cardiovascular events (CVEs) and relationship with clinical variables. BP was calculated as the mean of two office measurements within 10 minutes with the patient resting for 5 minutes.

Results:

Among 1,628 patients (mean age 81 years) on antihypertensive drugs, 636 (39%) had normalized BP. Normalized and non-normalized patients did not differ by demographics, lifestyle, diabetes, previous stroke, or duration of treated hypertension. The most common antihypertensive drug classes used were diuretics (60%), beta-blockers (59%), angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (50%), calcium channel blockers (34%), and angiotensin-receptor blockers (30%). Overall, 31% were on monotherapy and 69% on combination therapy. There was no significant interaction between history of CVEs or age and BP control. Normalized BP patients were more likely to have a previous myocardial infarction or reduced estimated glomerular filtration rate. At a median follow-up of 73 months with 8,853 person-years of follow-up, 469 patients died. Compared with non-normalized BP, normalized BP was associated with a 26% increased risk of all-cause mortality (number needed to harm [NNH] 3-year 64/6-year 34), which was mainly driven by sBP <130 mm Hg. While there was a trend toward decrease in risk with normalized BP in those ages 70-79 years, there was a 60% increase in total mortality in those ages ≥80 years (NNH 3-year 29/6-year 17) and 39% in those with previous CVE (NNH 3-year 24/6-year 16). There was no change in the results when using a 1-year lag to account for decreasing BP at end of life. When stratifying the normalized group to sBP <130 and dBP <90 mm Hg, there was an increased risk of all-cause mortality but not when categorized as sBP 130-139 mm Hg. Using 140 mm Hg as a reference point, sBP of about 125 mm Hg was significantly associated with increased risk, which was not the case with higher values of sBP (reversed J-shaped curve).

Conclusions:

BP values <140/90 mm Hg during antihypertensive treatment may be associated with an increased risk of mortality in octogenarians or elderly patients with previous CVEs.

Perspective:

These ‘real-world’ findings with long-term follow-up are important and reflect the more conservative BP guidelines of the Europeans versus the US guidelines, which were highly influenced by the SPRINT trial. In contrast to the unselected community dwellers in this report, SPRINT excluded persons with diabetes, previous stroke, heart failure, and dementia and demonstrated a >30% reduction in all-cause mortality in those >75 years old with sBP ≥130 mm Hg and targeting to <120 mm Hg. When comparing results of studies and clinical practice, it is important to realize that the unattended automated office BP as used in SPRINT and recommended for clinical practice differs from nonphysician office BP (-7 mm Hg sBP and -5 mm Hg dBP), as used in this study. To me, the clinical message is to be more conservative with the very elderly and especially the elderly at highest risk with previous stroke, chronic kidney disease, diabetes, and peripheral arterial disease.

Keywords: Adrenergic beta-Antagonists, Aged, 80 and over, Angiotensin Receptor Antagonists, Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitors, Antihypertensive Agents, Blood Pressure, Calcium Channel Blockers, Dementia, Diabetes Mellitus, Diuretics, Geriatrics, Glomerular Filtration Rate, Heart Failure, Hypertension, Independent Living, Life Style, Myocardial Infarction, Primary Prevention, Risk, Stroke, Vascular Diseases


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