Ventricular Stimulation for ARVC Risk Prediction

Quick Takes

  • Programmed ventricular stimulation improves prognostication of sustained ventricular arrhythmia in patients with arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) over the clinical risk calculator.
  • In patients at low/intermediate risk, programmed ventricular stimulation had a 93% negative predictive value.

Study Questions:

Does programmed ventricular stimulation provide additional prognostic value above and beyond the novel risk calculator in risk stratification of arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) patients with no prior history of sustained ventricular arrhythmia?

Methods:

Clinical profiles of patients with definite ARVC diagnosis, no history of sustained ventricular arrhythmia, and programmed ventricular stimulation performed at baseline were combined from six international ARVC registries. The calculator-predicted risk for sustained ventricular arrhythmia was assessed. Independent and combined performance of the risk calculator and programmed ventricular stimulation on sustained ventricular arrhythmia were assessed during a 5-year follow-up period.

Results:

There were 288 patients (mean age 41 years, 56% male, right ventricular ejection fraction 43%). At programmed ventricular stimulation, 48% of patients had inducible ventricular tachycardia. During a median of ~5.3 years of follow-up, 61% of patients with a positive programmed ventricular stimulation and 25% with a negative programmed ventricular stimulation test experienced sustained ventricular arrhythmia (p < 0.001). Inducibility at electrophysiologic study predicted sustained ventricular arrhythmia during the 5-year follow-up and remained an independent predictor after accounting for the calculator-predicted risk (hazard ratio, 2.5). Compared with ARVC risk calculator predictions in isolation, addition of programmed ventricular stimulation inducibility showed improved prediction of ventricular arrhythmia events. Programmed ventricular stimulation inducibility had a 76% sensitivity and 68% specificity. In patients with low/intermediate risk on the ARVC risk calculator, programmed ventricular stimulation had a 93% negative predictive value.

Conclusions:

The authors concluded that in a primary prevention cohort of patients with ARVC, programmed ventricular stimulation significantly improved risk stratification of future sustained ventricular arrhythmia, especially in patients with a low and intermediate risk by the clinical risk calculator.

Perspective:

Risk stratification for sudden cardiac death or need for implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) therapy has been difficult in patients with ARVC and no prior sustained ventricular tachycardia. Recently, a risk calculator based on seven clinical factors has been developed. Those clinical factors include age at diagnosis, gender, occurrence of cardiac syncope in the preceding 6 months, number of inverted T waves on 12-lead electrocardiography, maximum premature ventricular contraction count over 24 hours, nonsustained ventricular tachycardia, and right ventricular ejection fraction (https://www.ARVCrisk.com/). The role of programmed ventricular stimulation for arrhythmic risk stratification in primary prevention has been uncertain. The current manuscript, which is based on a pooled population from six international registries, offers evidence of incremental benefit from the programmed ventricular stimulation. Using programmed ventricular stimulation can improve risk prediction, particularly among those with low or intermediate predicted risk based on the clinical risk calculator. If negative, its high negative predictive value (93%) in low and intermediate risk patients may support the decision to forgo ICD use in some patients.

Clinical Topics: Arrhythmias and Clinical EP, Heart Failure and Cardiomyopathies, Prevention, Implantable Devices, EP Basic Science, Genetic Arrhythmic Conditions, SCD/Ventricular Arrhythmias, Atrial Fibrillation/Supraventricular Arrhythmias, Acute Heart Failure

Keywords: Arrhythmias, Cardiac, Arrhythmogenic Right Ventricular Dysplasia, Cardiomyopathies, Death, Sudden, Cardiac, Defibrillators, Implantable, Electrocardiography, Electrophysiology, Heart Failure, Primary Prevention, Risk Assessment, Stroke Volume, Syncope, Tachycardia, Ventricular, Ventricular Function, Right, Ventricular Premature Complexes


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