Predictors and Prognosis of LVEF Improvement in HF

Study Questions:

What are the predictors of recovery of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), and what is the prognosis of heart failure (HF) patients with recovered LVEF (HFrecEF)?

Methods:

The authors conducted a retrospective cohort study of HF patients (at least one hospitalization or one emergency room (ER) visit with a diagnosis of HF) who underwent ≥2 echocardiograms separated by ≥6 months. The patients were classified into three groups: 1) HF with reduced EF (HFrEF) if initial LVEF was ≤40%, 2) HF with mid-range ejection fraction (HFmEF) if initial LVEF was 41–49%, and 3) HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) if initial LVEF was ≥50%.

Results:

Of 22,219 adults with ≥2 echocardiograms separated ≥6 months apart, the study authors analyzed 10,641 patients who had a physician-assigned diagnosis of HF, and who had their LVEF objectively measured on both echocardiograms. Of this final cohort of 10,641 patients, 3,124 had HFrEF at baseline: While mean LVEF declined from 30.2% on initial echocardiogram to 28.6% on the second echocardiogram in those patients with persistent HFrEF (defined by <10% improvement in LVEF), it improved from 26.1% to 46.4% in 37.6% of the patients (n = 1,174) with HFrecEF (defined by LVEF absolute improvement ≥10%); 52.4% exhibited LVEF recovery ≥5%. Using multivariate analysis, factors that were associated with EF improvements ≥10% included female gender (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.66; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.40–1.96), younger age (aOR per decade 1.16; 95% CI, 1.09–1.23), atrial fibrillation (aOR, 2.00; 95% CI, 1.68–2.38), cancer (aOR, 1.52; 95% CI, 1.03–2.26), hypertension (aOR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.18–1.62), lower baseline LVEF (aOR per 1% decrease, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.06–1.08), and using hydralazine (aOR, 1.69; 95% CI, 1.19–2.40). HFrecEF patients demonstrated lower rates per 1,000 patient-years of mortality (106 vs. 164, adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.70; 95% CI, 0.62–0.79), all-cause hospitalizations (300 vs. 428, aHR, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.79–0.95), all-cause ER visits (569 vs. 799, aHR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.81–0.95), and cardiac transplantation or LV assist device (LVAD) implantation (2 vs. 10, aHR, 0.21; 95% CI, 0.10–0.45) compared to patients with persistent HFrEF. Females with HFrEF exhibited lower mortality risk (aHR, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.88–0.99) than males after adjusting for age, time between echocardiograms, clinical comorbidities, medications, and whether their LVEF improved or not during follow-up. Also, females were significantly less likely to receive a LVAD or cardiac transplant (aHR, 0.46; 95% CI, 0.24–0.88), but there were no gender-based differences in rates of hospitalizations or ER visits.

Conclusions:

The study authors concluded that HFrecEF patients tended to be younger, female, and were more likely to have hypertension, atrial fibrillation, or cancer. HFrecEF patients have a substantially better prognosis compared to those with persistent HFrEF, even after multivariable adjustment, and female patients exhibit lower mortality risk than men within each subgroup (HFrecEF and persistent HFrEF) even after multivariable adjustment.

Perspective:

This is an important study because it identifies risk factors that are able to predict patients whose LVEFs are less likely to recover and therefore are most likely to benefit from guideline-directed medical therapy (GDMT). The predictors identified by this study, if confirmed from other data sets, should help the practicing physician to flag patients for more ‘aggressive’ GDMT.

Clinical Topics: Arrhythmias and Clinical EP, Cardiac Surgery, Cardiovascular Care Team, Heart Failure and Cardiomyopathies, Invasive Cardiovascular Angiography and Intervention, Noninvasive Imaging, Prevention, Atrial Fibrillation/Supraventricular Arrhythmias, Cardiac Surgery and Arrhythmias, Cardiac Surgery and Heart Failure, Acute Heart Failure, Heart Transplant, Mechanical Circulatory Support, Interventions and Imaging, Echocardiography/Ultrasound, Hypertension

Keywords: Atrial Fibrillation, Comorbidity, Echocardiography, Emergency Service, Hospital, Heart-Assist Devices, Heart Failure, Heart Transplantation, Hypertension, Neoplasms, Prognosis, Risk Factors, Secondary Prevention, Stroke Volume, Ventricular Function, Left


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